The Security Dilemma in Sino-Indian Relations
by John Garver

A security dilemma exists regarding Chinese and Indian relations with the countries of South Asia. Interactions since the late 1990s are surveyed to document the existence and operation of this security dilemma. India fears creeping strategic encirclement by China in South Asia, regardless of current Chinese intentions. China fears Indian domination of South Asia that would weaken Beijing's control over Tibet, stifle the growth of Chinese influence in South Asia, and diminish China's ability to protect its increasingly vital sea lines of communication across the Indian Ocean.

Kargil, Terrorism, and India's Strategic Shift
by Rajesh M. Basrur

In response to Pakistan's covert intervention in Kashmir, India sought to shed its perceived strategic paralysis by a strategy of compellence. While September 11 created a favorable international environment for military action against terrorists and their sponsors, accelerating terrorist attacks propelled Indian policymakers toward a military response. India gave effect to a newly developed concept of limited war by means of a military build-up designed to compel Pakistan both directly and indirectly (through the United States) to reverse its commitment to intervention in Kashmir. Such a strategy is flawed: concessions extracted can be withdrawn at any time, and brinkmanship risks loss of control and the outbreak of war between nuclear weapon states, with potentially horrific results.

Security Agreements and Confidence Building for India: Past, Present, and Future
by Kent Biringer

This article examines an existing and proposed set of security agreements relevant for India and its South Asian neighbors. In particular, the focus is on the mechanisms available to monitor and verify international military security and nuclear stability agreements. Several ideas for cooperative engagement on issues of security concern are presented. Among them are cooperative border monitoring, cooperative aerial monitoring, naval and maritime cooperation, establishment of a science center in the Siachen Glacier region, and ways toward nuclear stability and transparency. Success at implementing and maintaining such cooperative security agreements will have profound implications on the prospects for peace and stability in South Asia.


The Dragon Arises: China's Challenge to India in Software Development
by Faizal Yahya

This article examines the competition between India and China in software development and in the Information Technology (IT) market. Although China leads India in overall IT development, India still dominates the software export sector. In this context, China has made it clear that it intends to overtake India in software development. Set against the broader context of economic reforms, the paper will use a comparative framework to examine various factors that influenced the development of the software industry in China and India. It will make a case for cooperation that will result in a win-win situation for both countries.